59 4.9 Fuel Import Dependence Changes from Low-Carbon Development 60 4.10 Total Power Plants Investments, by Scenario, 2015-30 60 5.1 Transport: The BAU vs. LCD Scenarios, 2010-30 69 5.2 Transport Sector: Marginal Abatement Cost Curves 69 6.1 Vietnam's Economic Growth under the BAU and LCD Scenarios, 2012-30 74 6.2 Inflation under the BAU and LCD Scenarios, 2011-30 76 6.3 Difference in the Rate of Increase in Household Consumption over 2014-30 between the LCD and BAU Scenarios, by Income Quintile 76 6.4 Unit Electricity Costs, 2014-30 77 C.1 Overview of the Revenue Requirements Model 106 D.1 Energy Substitution in Production Functions 110 D.2 Bringing together a large set of data and building on two years of consultations in Vietnam with Government counterparts, research organizations, state-owned enterprises, the private sector, and the country's international development partners, Exploring a Low-Carbon Development Path for Vietnam shows that achieving low-carbon development in Vietnam is both beneficial and feasible. To do so, this book delineates immediate and concrete policy guidance for the Government's consideration to lower the country's greenhouse gas emission trajectory. Based on a thorough data modeling effort, this book brings to light new data to formulate two scenarios that analyze Vietnam's options up to the year 2030: a business-as-usual scenario and a low-carbon development scenario for the key carbon-emitting sectors of Vietnam. This book is unique in that it brings together and presents data on multiple sectors of Vietnam's economy, making this information available for future reference. The effort is the result of collaboration with the Government of Vietnam as part of the Vietnam Low Carbon Options Assessment technical assistance. By highlighting several economic opportunities and clarifying the issues at hand, this work constitutes a milestone in this complex debate and should help all stakeholders tasked with designing the policies and measures to address the attendant challenges Bringing together a large set of data and building on two years of consultations in Vietnam with Government counterparts, research organizations, state-owned enterprises, private sector and Vietnam international development partners, the report formulates two scenarios to explore and analyze Vietnam's options up to the year 2030: a business as usual and a low carbon development scenario. Based on a thorough data modeling effort for the key carbon emitting sectors of Vietnam, the report also provides some policy guidance for the Government's consideration. This report is also unique as it brings together and presents data on multiple sectors of Vietnam's economy, making this information available for future reference. This effort is the result of two years of collaboration with the Government of Vietnam as part of the Vietnam Low Carbon Options Assessment technical assistance. By highlighting several economic opportunities and clarifying the issues at hand, this work is a milestone in this complex debate and I believe will help all stakeholders willing to consider and responsible to design the policies and measures to address those challenges. Reviews the current development plan and greenhouse gas emission trajectory of Vietnam and makes a set of concrete suggestions to lower this trajectory through low carbon development measures across multiple sectors.
